Once again, I’ll be joined by Ryan Moreland for the weekly picks.
Week 6 Records:
Overall Record: 56-36
Both of us will start 1-0 after picking the Packers to defeat the Bears on Thursday night.
Ryan — Giants 24, Rams 17
These teams look evenly matched on paper, but the Giants have the upper hand in this game. Look for Eli Manning to spread the ball around to his talented receiving corps and lead his team over Jeff Fisher’s squad.
Shelby — Giants 23, Rams 16
It would be mighty impressive for Case Keenum to throw for 300-plus yards and three scores again, but it’s a new week and the Giants’ defense — along with their stud wide receiver — looked great last week in a win over Baltimore.
Ryan — Bengals 31, Browns 24
Unfortunately for the Browns and their fans, they are struggling worse than anybody. The Bengals get a tune up game to try to get them back on track and the Browns remain the only winless team in the NFL.
Shelby — Bengals 24, Browns 13
The Bengals are in must-win mode after a second two-game losing streak in the first six weeks. They will get that much-needed victory when their former offensive coordinator comes to Paul Brown Stadium this Sunday.
Ryan — Lions 37, Redskins 31
The Redskins started the season with back to back losses before winning four straight. Despite all of the recent success, they will lose this game to a Lions team that is really finding their stride. Points will be easy to come by for both teams, but the Lions offense is hard for anyone to keep pace with when they are on.
Shelby — Lions 34, Redskins 28
Everyone loves a high-scoring game, and that’s exactly what’s on tap for this Sunday at FedEx Field. This may come down to who has the ball last: Matthew Stafford or Kirk Cousins? I think the Lions with Marvin Jones and a productive Golden Tate win this game.
Ryan — Titans 27, Colts 20
The Colts have been very generous to pass rushers this season, giving up a league leading 23 sacks allowed. They face a Titans team that is tied for fifth in the NFL for sacks and are benefiting from the reemergence of Brian Orakpo. Andrew Luck will spend most of this game staring at the clouds and the Titans get their first three game winning streak since 2008.
Shelby — Titans 22, Colts 14
Andrew Luck continues to get beaten like a drum in the pocket. Even when he finally got a 100-yard rusher, the Colts still blew a fourth-quarter lead against Houston last week. Marcus Mariota has six touchdown passes in the last two games and keeps that momentum going against an all around poor Colts team.
Ryan — Chiefs 34, Saints 20
Andy Reid’s team knows what it means to protect home field. They haven’t lost a home game since last season. They will host the high powered offense (and nonexistent defense) of the Saints. The Chiefs not only win this game, but do so convincingly.
Shelby — Chiefs 27, Saints 23
There’s just something about Drew Brees in away games. He draws the short straw this week at Arrowhead, where the Chiefs are riding high after a divisional road win over Oakland last week. Andy Reid keeps Brees in check as the Chiefs keep their AFC West lead.
Ryan — Bills 38, Dolphins 13
Miami shocked the football world by manhandling the Steelers last week, 30-15. It was a great win, but do not expect the momentum to continue this week. The Bills are riding high on a four-game win streak. During this streak they have been dominate, more than doubling their opponents in points.
Shelby — Bills 26, Dolphins 20
Buffalo is on a four-game winning streak and shows no signs of slowing down when they travel south to take on Miami this week. The Dolphins shocked everyone with an upset over Pittsburgh, but the Bills are the hotter team right now.
Ryan — Jets 20, Ravens 17
Geno Smith gets the start as the Jets decide to sit Fitztragic. Smith’s first start of the season will be against a Ravens team that is top ten in points allowed. Many fans have forgotten, though, that Geno went for six touchdowns, two interceptions, and a rating of 104.5 in his last four starts. He will surprise some people this week and leads his team to a narrow victory.
Shelby — Jets 16, Ravens 13
Geno Smith is the starting quarterback this week as the Jets finally had enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick. I think Smith can surprise a few critics when he takes on an overrated Ravens team that is having trouble scoring points.
Ryan — Vikings 21, Eagles 13
The Vikings come off its bye hoping they keep all the momentum they had before it. They head to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles and their rookie quarterback. Wentz’s offensive line has begun to let him down and that is the cause of the two game losing streak. The Eagles have given up eight sacks in the last two weeks after only giving up four in the first three games. Minnesota’s stellar defensive front will keep the pressure on Wentz and come away with their sixth straight.
Shelby — Vikings 20, Eagles 3
The Eagles used to be bye-week kings when Andy Reid was its coach. Now, they are 0-2 after heading into the bye week with a 3-0 record. Carson Wentz has looked more like a rookie in the past few weeks, and that continues against perhaps the best defense in the NFL.
Ryan — Raiders 34, Jaguars 20
Both teams were picked by almost every analyst to be the up and comers in the NFL. So far Oakland is living up to the hype, while the Jaguars have faltered. Derek Carr will continue is impressive season against a purchased defense that has yet to come together.
Shelby — Raiders 27, Jags 24
Expect a lot of points in this game between two bad defenses. I give Derek Carr the benefit of the doubt when it comes to if which quarterback will avoid the costly turnovers in this game. All signs point to Blake Bortles, which makes me give the edge to Der Raidersss.
Ryan — Falcons 45, Chargers 33
San Diego has led in every game that they have played in, but have struggled to come up with victory’s late in the game. They have lost by an average of 3.5 points per game. By contrast, the Falcons have an average margin of victory of 10.5 points. The Chargers will compete at first, but will not be able to keep up with the red-hot Falcons offense.
Shelby — Falcons 38, Chargers 27
The trend continues with a lot of high-flying offensive shootouts around the NFL. Even after a stagnant start in Seattle last week, the Falcons hot offense — led by Matt Ryan and Julio Jones — nearly pulled off a win, with a questionable no-call on defensive back Richard Sherman being the deciding factor. The Chargers played inspired against Denver last week to save Mike McCoy’s job, but they run into a hot team in the Falcons this week.
Ryan — 49ers 30, Buccaneers 26
Colin Kaepernick will see his second start of the season against the underperforming Buccaneers. He had limited success last week against the stingy Bills. This week he has a much more manageable defense, who has been giving up 28.4 points a game. Kaep will officially announce his return to the league with a win over a struggling team.
Shelby — Buccaneers 28, 49ers 20
Since losing Navarro Bowman for the year, the 49ers have not been able to stop the running game. I think the Bucs, coming off a road win over the defending NFC-Champion Panthers — can use a solid ground attack with Jaquizz Rodgers to open up the passing game for their young quarterback. Not sure Chip Kelly has all of his pieces figured out yet.
Ryan– Patriots 42, Steelers 9
The Steelers could not have lost their starting quarterback at a worse time. With Big Ben out, former Sooner Landry Jones takes the helm. The Patriots enter the third game of the Tom Brady revenge tour and they have been setting fire to the earth, crushing their last two opponents by an average of 19 points. The Steelers become the next victim of Brady and company.
Shelby — Patriots 31, Steelers 14
Landry Jones at quarterback? Give me the Patriots. Tom Brady has thrown six touchdowns in his two games back since returning from a four-game suspension and he goes up against a depleted Steelers’ defensive unit.
Ryan — Seahawks 17, Cardinals 14
The Seahawks are somehow having quiet success to start the season. They will head to Arizona to take on a heated division rival. Carson Palmer will be back for this game after practicing on Friday, but will it be enough to beat Wilson and company? Simply put, no. This late game is sure to be a memorable one, though.
Shelby — Seahawks 21, Cardinals 14
Say what you want, Carson Palmer has not been the same since the NFC Championship. Seattle will key on David Johnson and the running game and Palmer won’t be able to make some contested throws against the Legion of Boom.
Ryan — Broncos 21, Texans 6
Monday night brings us a matchup of 4-2 teams looking to take control of their divisions. The key in this game will also be the most talked about story line; Brock Osweiler returning to his former team. The 72-million-dollar man will struggle to do anything with the ball against this tenacious defense and Denver gets the win at home.
Shelby — Broncos 16, Texans 3
Broncos’ linebacker Brandon Marshall said the Denver defense wants to kill Brock Osweiler this week. Good enough to have my pick. I forecast a sloppy game with a not a lot of offense, but the Broncos win on the heels of a defense that will get after Osweiler the entire game and three Brandon McManus’ field goals.