Week 7 record: 9-4-1
Correct: Giants, Bengals, Lions, Chiefs, Jets, Raiders, Buccaneers, Patriots, Broncos
Incorrect: Colts, Dolphins, Eagles, Chargers
Overall Record: 65-40-1
Shelby – Jaguars 16, Titans 24
The Jaguars were riding a two-game winning streak but didn’t show in double-digit loss at home last week to Oakland. It’s a primetime game between two sub-par teams, but I give the edge to Marcus Mariota and the Titans playing at home.
Shelby – Redskins 20, Bengals 23
This pick depends on the status of cornerback Josh Norman and tight end Jordan Reed. Both are dealing with concussions. Reed has missed the last few games, but his presence would be big against a Bengals team that struggles covering tight ends. If Norman can’t go, it leaves AJ Green – the NFL’s leader in receptions – with favorable matchups for the entire game. I’ll give the Bengals a three-point win, but expect a close game.
Shelby – Lions 22, Texans 23
Matthew Stafford is drawing MVP bids after his last-minute heroics against Washington last week. Meanwhile, Houston’s offense – outside the fourth-quarter comeback against the Colts – has been reeling with Brock Osweiler at the helm. I think Matthew Stafford has a great game against an average Texans defense that is still trying to find an identity without J.J Watt. That being said, however, the Lions defense is poor, and the Texans are undefeated at home so far this season, a trend that continues with a close victory on Sunday.
Shelby – Chiefs 23, Colts 10
Andrew Luck finally stayed clean in the pocket in a big road win over the Titans last week, that changes this Sunday when the vaunting Chiefs’ defense rolls into Indianapolis. Spencer Ware has been great in Kansas City’s backfield, and he has another great game against the Colts this week.
Shelby – Patriots 27, Bills 16
Tom Brady is making a mockery of Roger Goodell and the NFL in his three games back, throwing for eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. On top of that, James White and LeGarrette Blount have become a lethal running back tandem. White’s caught three touchdowns in the last two games and Blount has added a pair of rushing scores. The Bills were riding a four-game winning streak but were shocked by the Dolphins and running back Jay Ajayi last week.
Shelby – Cardinals 24, Panthers 17
Hopefully, Carson Palmer doesn’t have flashbacks to the NFC Championship when his Cardinals were blown out on the heels of his four interceptions. He will not face the same defense that dominated him in the postseason a year ago, allowing David Johnson to once again tally another 100-yard game. Arizona’s defense was spectacular in a tie against Seattle last Sunday night and will continue their dominance against the 1-5 defending NFC Champions.
Shelby – Seahawks 26, Saints 17
Like Arizona, Seattle’s defense was great on Sunday night, too. Drew Brees is always an attractive option when playing at home, but it’s a different story against the Seahawks’ defense. The Saints’ defense continues to struggle, and Christine Michael along with CJ Spiller and the entire Seattle offense can have a bid day in Louisiana.
Shelby – Jets 20, Browns 12
Thankfully for the Jets, its quarterback situation won’t matter this week against the winless Browns. Ryan Fitzpatrick just doesn’t have to lose this game with costly turnovers and New York can win a second straight game. The Browns may be working on another starting quarterback with Cody Kessler in the concussion protocol, meaning Kevin Hogan would have to call the shots. Despite running for 104 yards and a touchdown last week against Cincinnati, Hogan only completed 12 of 24 passes for 100 yards and two interceptions.
Shelby — Raiders 35, Buccaneers 27
Both bad defenses, both good offenses. Doug Martin may return for the Bucs in this game, but I think Oakland has more stability on offense and finds ways to win close games. This Sunday will be no different.
Shelby – Chargers 16, Broncos 19
The Chargers are on a two-game winning streak in the effort to save Mike McCoy’s job. The turnaround started with a TNF win over Denver just two weeks ago. Now, the two teams meet up again in one of the rare scenarios when division rivals meet twice over a three-week span. Give me the Broncos playing at Mile High, where the defense just held the Texans to two field goals last Monday.
Shelby – Packers 24, Falcons 27
I don’t think the Packers are fixed just yet. I also don’t think the Falcons are collapsing like they did in 2015. Aaron Rodgers had the benefit last week of facing the terrible Bears defense. The Falcons could very well be 6-1 if a few things went its way. The Falcons can have a big day on offense if Matt Ryan is protected.
Shelby – Eagles 24, Cowboys 23
I had a tough time picking this game. The Eagles just beat the undefeated Vikings with a stingy defense and a special teams’ score. Dallas is 5-1 with Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot leading the way. I forecast a close game, but I’ll take Philadelphia winning a close game with a strong defense that can pressure Prescott into a few mistakes.
Shelby – Vikings 21, Bears 7
Jay Cutler is returning from an injury. Brian Hoyer was playing great until getting injured in the loss to Green Bay. Minnesota is coming off their first loss of the season, but they will recover against a poor Bears team. Sam Bradford needs to learn to limit mistakes. He found that out the hard way in a loss to Philadelphia last week. If he can take care of the football and the Vikings win the field position battle, the Bears stand no chance.